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Doomsday argument

The doomsday argument (DA), or Carter catastrophe, is a probabilistic argument that aims to predict the total number of humans who will ever live. It argues that if a human's birth rank is randomly sampled from the set of all humans who will ever live, it is improbable that one would be at the extreme beginning. This implies that the total number of…

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Summary

Aspects

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Reference classes

Counterarguments

Advanced semantic analysis

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Map overview Semantic statistics

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Doomsday argument

Nodes82
Edges81
Triples99
Avg. degree1.98
Density0.02439
Components1

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Doomsday argument

Top relations

related to External links · 43
Doomsday argument → Abstract, Apocalypse Not Just Now, Assumption, BooksLaster, Brandon Carter's, Broadway, Caves, Contemporary Physics, Copernicus, Critique, DA, DANick Bostrom's, First, Gott's, Infinitely Long Afterlives, It, Jerrad Pierce, John Leslie, Journal, Ken Olum In
related to SSSA: Sampling from observer-moments · 10
Doomsday argument → An, Bostrom, He, However, If, Nick Bostrom, Self-Sampling Assumption, SSA, SSSA, Therefore
related to Confusion over the meaning of confidence intervals · 9
Doomsday argument → Bayesian, But, Every, Gelman, Robert, Suppose, That, The, This
related to Human extinction is distant, a posteriori · 8
Doomsday argument → Another, Bayesian, Copernican, If, In Bayesian, The, Therefore, This
related to Self-referencing doomsday argument rebuttal · 8
Doomsday argument → An, Carter, DA, If, Jeff Dewynne, Professor Peter Landsberg, Royal Society, Some
related to We are in the earliest 5%, a priori · 6
Doomsday argument → By, Disagreeing, For, However, One, This
related to Infinite expectation · 5
Doomsday argument → Another, For, Petersburg, St, The
related to Reference classes · 5
Doomsday argument → According, Copernican, Given, Nick Bostrom, The
related to Conflation of future duration with total duration · 3
Doomsday argument → Pisaturo, This, Various
is a · 1
Doomsday argument → ultimate triumph of the idea

Important terminology Word statistics

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Important terminology

argument doomsday humans prior confidence human ever number gott's probability distribution total 95 one bayesian population born da reference future

Entity relationships Subject–Predicate–Object triples

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SubjectPredicateObjectConfidenceSrc
Doomsday argumentis aultimate triumph of the idea0.90text
Nick Bostrom specify thatinstance ofEpistemological refinements of Gott's argument by philosophers0.80text
Doomsday argumentrelated to Conflation of future duration with total durationVarious0.60section
Doomsday argumentrelated to Conflation of future duration with total durationThis0.60section
Doomsday argumentrelated to Conflation of future duration with total durationPisaturo0.60section
Doomsday argumentrelated to Confusion over the meaning of confidence intervalsGelman0.60section
Doomsday argumentrelated to Confusion over the meaning of confidence intervalsRobert0.60section
Doomsday argumentrelated to Confusion over the meaning of confidence intervalsBayesian0.60section
Doomsday argumentrelated to Confusion over the meaning of confidence intervalsSuppose0.60section
Doomsday argumentrelated to Confusion over the meaning of confidence intervalsEvery0.60section
Doomsday argumentrelated to Confusion over the meaning of confidence intervalsThis0.60section
Doomsday argumentrelated to Confusion over the meaning of confidence intervalsBut0.60section

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