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Ensemble forecasting is a method used in or within numerical weather prediction. Instead of making a single forecast of the most likely weather, a set (or ensemble) of forecasts is produced. This set of forecasts aims to give an indication of the range of possible future states of the atmosphere.
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ensemble forecast forecasts weather model uncertainty spread initial state forecasting used atmosphere prediction system probability stochastic parametrisation reliable also distribution
| Subject | Predicate | Object | Confidence | Src |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ensemble forecasting | is a | method used in or within numerical weather prediction | 0.90 | text |
| Ensemble forecasting | is a | form of Monte Carlo analysis | 0.90 | text |
| spaghetti plots | instance of | There are various ways of viewing the data | 0.80 | text |
| ensemble means or Postage Stamps where a number of different results from the models run can be compared | instance of | There are various ways of viewing the data | 0.80 | text |
| the Pacific Ocean | instance of | over large bodies of water | 0.80 | text |
| the development of parametrisation schemes | instance of | The process of representing the atmosphere in a computer model involves many simplifications | 0.80 | text |
| which introduce errors into the forecast | instance of | The process of representing the atmosphere in a computer model involves many simplifications | 0.80 | text |
| spaghetti diagrams | instance of | Ensemble spread can be visualised through tools | 0.80 | text |
| which show the dispersion of one quantity on prognostic charts for specific time steps in the future | instance of | Ensemble spread can be visualised through tools | 0.80 | text |
| Ensemble forecasting | related to Initial condition uncertainty | Initial | 0.60 | section |
| Ensemble forecasting | related to Initial condition uncertainty | This | 0.60 | section |
| Ensemble forecasting | related to Initial condition uncertainty | There | 0.60 | section |
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